IPL playoffs scenarios: With 14 matches to go, RCB have 98.2% chance of progressing — odds for each team explained

NEW DELHI: With 14 games remaining in the league stage, Chennai Super Kings , Rajasthan Royals and Sunrisers Hyderabad are already out of contention for the playoffs. Riyal Challengers Bengaluru, Punjab Kings and Gujarat Titans are almost sure to make the knock-out stage, but Mumbai Indians and Delhi Capitals still have an even chance while Lucknow Super Giants have Kolkata Knight Riders slim chances.

There remain 16,384 possible combinations of results, so nothing is for sure yet for any of the seven remaining in the race.

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We look at the probabilities:



How we arrive at the probabilities:

There are 16,384 possible combinations of results remaining with 14 games to go.

For each team, we looked at how many of these end up with them being among the top four either singly or tied. We also looked at how many combinations put each team in the top two either singly or jointly.


For instance, RCB finish in the top four in 16,092 of the possible combinations of match outcomes, translating to a 98.2% chance.

In 12,452 of them they end up first or second, singly or jointly, translating to a 76% chance.